I apologize for the late delay. I'm working on an updated model that I'm running two scenarios on two computers and they are currently showing two different results while both being more accurate then the current model I'm using. This leaves me somewhat concerned about the numbers since both are showing to be more accurate then the old model but currently don't agree. I'm guessing that the models will be finished solving sometime in the next week and then I can get a more clear picture of what is going on. I'm assuming as they solve they will both align over the next couple days. Until I get a more clear picture I'm going to stop sending updates until I'm more confident in the numbers.

For now the old model is predicting that the S&P 500 will be up today.

I'm sorry for any inconvenience this causes and I will send an email to my email subscribers as I know more.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow October 8th for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

I apologize for the late post today. I've been updating the model to a more accurate version and have been unsure what the prediction for tomorrow was while it was updating. To be sure to get the most updated predictions be sure to sign up for our email updates.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow October 7th for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow October 6th for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for Monday October 5th for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow October 2nd for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow October 1st for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 30, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 29th for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for Monday September 28, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 25, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 24, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 23rd for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 22, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for Monday September 21st for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 18, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 17, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 16, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

After updating the model last night and seeing futures this morning the prediction for today the 15th has changed to Down. I apologize for the late notice and this isn't something that happens too often.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 15th for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for Monday September 14, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 11, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 10th for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

I'm going to be away from a computer tomorrow and not able to post until late in the evening. I'm planning on staying short and then selling on the morning of the 10th if the model requires a switch.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 9, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

Disclaimer: Investing involves the risk of losing money. Please consult with an investment advisor before following our predictions. We do not guarantee the accuracy of our predictions since past performance does not guarantee future performance.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for Tuesday September 8th for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 4th for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 3, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 2, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow September 1, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

I might not be able to post until after the market closes today. Right now the model is showing that the prediction for tomorrow will be down but I'll update it officially as soon as I can.

Correction: I had the wrong date of September 1st on this post, but it was for August 31st. September 1st will be posted later today.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for Monday September 1, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 28, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 27, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 26, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 25, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 24, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is DOWN.

We recommend selling (shorting) the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SDS with mimics the inverse of S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is down 1% then the SDS should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 21, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 20, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Be sure to sign up for our email updates to be notified first what our predictions are. The sign up form is on the right column of the page.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 19, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

According to the model it looks like there is the possibility of another increase in the S&P 500 before we see a change where the model suggests shorting the SPY (S&P 500 ETF).

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 18, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

It's amazing how long this trend of up predictions has lasted.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for Monday August 17,2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 14, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 13, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 12, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 11, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 10th for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 7, 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 6th 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

After looking back through the 10 years of back testing on the model this had been one of the longest one way streaks the model has had. I'm thinking we'll have to see the top and some sort of pull back within the next two weeks.

The model is still predicting more upside for this summer 2009 stock rally.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 5th 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

I most likely will not be able to post later today so I wanted to post what the model is predicting right now. If it changes then I'll post an update later today.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 4th 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow August 3rd 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow July 31st 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

Sorry for the late post today.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow July 30th 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow July 29th 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for tomorrow July 28th 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The Market Flavor forecast model prediction for Monday July 27th 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The forecast model prediction for tomorrow July 24th 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

I was starting to get worried two weeks ago when the model was showing the the market should be trading higher yet we kept declining. These last two weeks have more then made up for those losses! The model is showing that there is still more room to the upside.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The forecast model prediction for tomorrow July 23rd 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be close to up 2%.

Read more about the forecast model.

The performance record of the model compared to the SPY is periodically updated at the top of the right side of the blog.

The forecast model prediction for tomorrow July 22nd 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is UP.

We recommend buying the SPY which mimics the S&P 500 or if you want more leverage we recommend buying the SSO with mimics the S&P 500 times 2. That means that if the SPY is up 1% then the SSO should be up 2%.

The prediction for tomorrow July 21st 2009 remains up.

What a great week in the market. This week has brought the return for July up to 2.2%!

Stock Prediction Model Performance
Model 10%
SPY 12.73%

Accuracy 56.86%

Results from 4/20/09 through 7/16/09 minus the two weeks I was out of town in early June. I'll try to post some more detailed performance numbers soon.

The prediction for Monday July 20th 2009 is again UP.

The prediction for tomorrow July 17th remains UP.

What a great day in the market!

The prediction for tomorrow July 16th remains up.

The SPY prediction for tomorrow July 15th is again UP.

The model is starting to line up a little more and it's nice to see a stronger market. I'll post the performance of the predictions vs. the SPY later this week.

Finally a nice jump in the market.

The prediction for tomorrow remains UP.

The prediction for Monday is again UP.

We have to come out of this slump sooner or later.

Sorry for the late post. The prediction for tomorrow remains UP.

The prediction for tomorrow remains up.

The prediction for tomorrow is up.

Correction on Performance from April 22nd through July 2nd
S&P 500 return - 7.59%
Prediction Model - 5.29%

The prediction for tomorrow is up.

Prediction Performance from April 22nd through July 2nd
S&P 500 return - 7.59%
Prediction Model - 6.98%

Directional Accuracy - 58.97%

The model has been fairly disconnected for the past couple weeks and I'm eager to see if it stays disconnected or moves closer to where the S&P 500 is trading. So far the model has been fairly accurate but is yielding slightly lower then the S&P 500.

The prediction for Monday is up.

The prediction for tomorrow remains UP.

The prediction for tomorrow is again UP.

Correction: The title for the last two days were July 30th and July 29th. That was a typo and has been corrected to June 30th and June 29th.

The predictions model was running pretty high above the SPY but is staring to come back in line. Unless we get a huge jump in the market it looks like we'll be long through the week.

The prediction for tomorrow is again UP.

The prediction for Monday remains UP.

The prediction for tomorrow remains UP.

The prediction for tomorrow remains UP.

The prediction for tomorrow remains UP.

The prediction for tomorrow remains UP.

I was slightly disappointed with the results of the forecasting while I was gone but at least I wasn't invest during this time.

	SPY	Forecast	Action	Results
6/19/09	92.04	99.700	Long	$(0.18)
6/18/09	92.22	99.470	Long	$0.67
6/17/09	91.55	99.613	Long	$(0.09)
6/16/09	91.64	99.442	Long	$(1.26)
6/15/09	92.9	99.498	Long	$(2.18)
6/12/09	95.08	92.140	Long	$0.26
6/11/09	94.82	91.737	Long	$0.42
6/10/09	94.4	90.904	Long	$(0.24)
6/9/09	94.64	90.420	Short	$(0.48)
6/8/09	94.16	90.212	Short	$0.39
6/5/09	94.55	89.042	Short	$(0.02)

As I mentioned I'm not going to include these results in the analysis of the forecasting model but I'm expecting great results after the performance while I was gone. The performance while I was gone was a loss of $2.71 per share of the SPY ETF.

The prediction for tomorrow is UP with a target of 100.94.

The prediction for the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) remains DOWN.

The model is still off from the recent gain in the market but I think that will correct itself soon with a decline in the stock market.

Tomorrow I am leaving on vacation out of the country and won't be back until the 21st of June. Most likely I will not be posting predictions while I'm gone. I will take the days I'm gone out of the model accuracy and return since the model results won't be posted until after I return.

Before I leave I'm going to sell out of my short SPY position so that I don't have to worry about monitoring it while on vacation.

Happy trading!

The prediction for tomorrow remains DOWN.

The prediction for tomorrow remains DOWN.

The model still shows that this run should end soon.

The prediction for tomorrow remains DOWN.

The recent predictions from the model have not been as accurate as I had hoped and as accurate as when I started testing. However, looking over the back testing there were times where the model had been pretty off for a week or more. Most of those instances resulted in a big change in directions like the model is currently forecasting. I'm keeping faith and betting the market will still take a turn.

Be sure to sign up for our daily updates under "Subscribe to this Blog" in the right column. We update our forecast on this blog first so this is the fastest way to receive our stock market forecasts before the closing bell.

The prediction for Monday remains DOWN.

The spread between the forecasts and the SPY is growing which means we could be in for a couple percentage point drop in the S&P 500. Be sure to sign up for our daily updates under "Subscribe to this Blog" in the right column. We update our forecast on this blog first so this is the fastest way to receive our stock market forecasts before the closing bell.

Have a great weekend!

The prediction for tomorrow remains DOWN.

Be sure to sign up for our daily updates under "Subscribe to this Blog" in the right column.

The prediction for tomorrow remains DOWN.

Be sure to sign up for our daily updates under "Subscribe to this Blog" in the right column.

We had a good winning streak going and unfortunately the streak was broken on a huge up day like today. But even with an up day like today the prediction for tomorrow remains DOWN.

So far the prediction model has done pretty well. The S&P 500 has been up 6.7% since 4/20/09 and the prediction model on the SPY (ETF that mimics the S&P 500) has been up 10.96%. It's still pretty early in the testing as we have only had a little over a month of predictions but this model has shown promise. I will continue to update the predictions as often as I can along with the continued performance as I continue to test the model.

Thanks for following!

The prediction for May 26th 2009 for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) remains down.

Be sure to subscribe to this blog to receive daily updates on our stock predictions.

The S&P 500 held a late rally pushing the SPY over 88.75. As mentioned in the prior post that on this move like this our prediction for tomorrow will remain DOWN.

The stock prediction for the SPY for May 21st has changed to UP providing that the SPY does not rally too much from it's current position at $88.51. If we cross back above $88.75 then the prediction will remain down.

Read more about the SPY predictions.
See our free sample stock portfolio.

The stock prediction for the SPY for May 21st remains DOWN.

Read more about the SPY predictions.
See our free sample stock portfolio.

Sorry for the late post. The prediction for today May the 20th remains Down.

I was able to update twitter on the road @SPYPrediction, but I have to search for good app to update this blog.

I will also post the accuracy and total return of these predictions this weekend. Make sure to add this blog to your reader or follow us on Twitter.

I will most likely be away from my computer before the closing bell today and will not be able to post a prediction until later this evening. Hopefully I'll still be able to post while the after hours market is still open.

Currently it appears that the prediction will remain DOWN.

Read more about the SPY predictions.
See our free sample stock portfolio.

The prediction for the SPY for tomorrow the 19th is DOWN over the close today.

Read more about the SPY predictions.
See our free sample stock portfolio.

The prediction for the SPY for tomorrow the 19th is UP over the close today.

Read more about the SPY predictions.
See our free sample stock portfolio.

One of the new features of Market Flavor is a daily prediction for the S&P 500. I have spent the last couple months building a forecasting model for the SPY, which is an ETF (exchange traded fund) that mimics the moves of the S&P 500. This model has proven to be accurate in back testing of over 10 years, but the big question is how will it do at predicting movement in the S&P 500 for the future. I will be posting the predictions as often as I can on this blog as well as through twitter under SPYprediction.

I will periodically post the accuracy rate and the percentage increase the model has achieved.

At the beginning of 2009 I created a forecasting model for my company to decide when to buy supplies. The model was successful and gave me the idea to try my algorithm on the stock market. I wasn’t expecting much since the stock market is so complicated and since there are so many large companies that have their own fancy algorithms. However, after I created the model for the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) and back tested through 10 years, I was surprised to find that the results were very good. Since April 20th 2009 I have started live testing the model by posting the predictions on this blog and also using my money to invest along with the recommendations of the SPY prediction model.

As I continue to test the model the percentage gain from following the models predictions will be posted on top right of the blog and updated weekly.

Since the model has not been tested for an extended period of time I am posting the predictions on this blog so that you can see the timing of the predictions and gauge the results for yourself.

Please email me if you have any questions or ideas for this site.